If any of you are familiar with me just a little bit, you know that I geek out a lot during the Oscar season. You know, trying to figure out who's winning and what movie winning would crush my world more. That sort of thing.

But, there are other award shows too.

And today, what I might consider to be the 2nd most prestigious award to have next to the Oscar released its nominee list today. And I figured, given my extensive knowledge about this particular award ceremony, I will try to handicap who will win and who might surprise, so that you might have a cheat sheet when you join your office's award pool.

So without further adieu, here are my predictions for the MTV MOVIE AWARDS.

Best Movie
"Black Swan"
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1"
"Inception"
"The Social Network"
"The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"

PREDICTION: Twilight New Moon wowed audiences last year, and picked up the big prize, so it's pretty obvious that it's the favorite. Harry Potter might surprise, but since it is only part 1 of the finale, might the voters be tempted to wait a year to bestow its ultimate honor? The other three have no chance, because really... they all sucked balls. Where the hell is the Karate Kid? Come on.

WILL WIN: The Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Best Female Performance
Emma Stone, "Easy A"
Emma Watson, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1"
Jennifer Aniston, "Just Go With It"
Kristen Stewart, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"

PREDICTION: Kristen Stewart has taken this the last two years, and there's no reason to assume otherwise. Cause obviously, she's the best actress in the past 50 years and deserves as many awards as possible (yeah, f*** you Meryl Streep). The darkhorse in this category might be Jennifer Aniston in Just Go With It. The reasons? Well, everyone loves her... it was an Adam Sandler movie and who doesn't love Adam Sandler movies... and the award just might heal the wounds that Brad Pitt leaving her for Angelina Jolie caused. It'd be a great moment, that's for sure.

WILL WIN: Kristen Stewart--Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Best Male Performance
Daniel Radcliffe, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1"
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network"
Robert Pattinson, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"
Taylor Lautner, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"
Zac Efron, "Charlie St. Cloud"

PREDICTION: R-Patt (as I'm assuming the cool people call him) won it last year, and then two years ago picked up Best Breakthrough Male. So smart money's on him. But what if Team Jacob comes out in full force in the voting? I wouldn't be surprised, nor would I be with Zac Efron--who picked up Best Actor two years ago. Daniel Radcliffe will have his supporters, but he's probably been nominated 7 or so times, so voters might growing sick of him. Who the hell is Jesse Eisenberg?

WILL WIN: R-Patt--Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Best Breakout Star
Andrew Garfield, "The Social Network"
Chloë Grace Moretz, "Kick-Ass"
Hailee Steinfeld, "True Grit"
Jay Chou, "The Green Hornet"
Olivia Wilde, "TRON: Legacy"
Xavier Samuel, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"

PREDICTION: It's a crowded category, that's for sure. On one hand, you got the powerhouse that is Twilight behind Mr. Xavier Samuel. On another, you got the FUTURE SPIDER-MAN. Plus, I've heard Olivia Wilde is super good in TRON: Legacy in what must be a huge breakthrough performance, cause I've certainly never heard of her or seen her on television before this movie came out. In the end, though... you have to go with who's better looking. And I'm assuming that will give the edge to Xavier Samuel. Because he's in Twilight. And everyone in Twilight is good looking.

WILL WIN: Xavier Samuel--Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Best Comedic Performance
Adam Sandler, "Just Go With It"
Ashton Kutcher, "No Strings Attached"
Emma Stone, "Easy A"
Russell Brand, "Get Him to the Greek"
Zach Galifianakis, "Due Date"

PREDICTION: Tough one. Zach Galifianakis won it last year for The Hangover (which was, of course, the greatest comedy in the history of everything), but he's not nominated for The Hangover II, so what the hell. Adam Sandler is a legend, so they might decide to honor him with this award in what is probably one of his better movies in recent memory. But Russell Brand is married to Katy Perry. Obviously, he has learned how to play the political game when it comes to the MTV Movie Awards.

WILL WIN: Russell Brand--Get Him to the Greek

Best Line From A Movie (New Category)
Alexys Nycole Sanchez, "Grown Ups": "I want to get chocolate wasted."
Amanda Bynes and Emma Stone, "Easy A": Amanda Bynes: "There is a higher power that will judge you for your indecency." Emma Stone: "Tom Cruise?"
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network": "If you guys were the inventors of Facebook, you'd have invented Facebook."
Justin Timberlake and Andrew Garfield, "The Social Network": Justin Timberlake: "... A million dollars isn't cool. You know what's cool?" Andrew Garfield: "A billion dollars. And that shut everybody up."
Tom Hardy, "Inception": "You mustn't be afraid to dream a little bigger darling."

PREDICTION: So this is a new category, so we don't know how voting is going to go. Will they a) go for the funniest line, or b) vote for the most attractive person nominated? If it's for the funniest line, it's gotta go to "Grown Ups," because who could forget that classic. But I'm leaning towards Justin Timberlake and Andrew Garfield, because one is going to be Spider-Man and the other guy sang SexyBack.

WILL WIN: Justin Timberlake & Andrew Garfield

Best Villain
Christoph Waltz, "The Green Hornet"
Leighton Meester, "The Roommate"
Mickey Rourke, "Iron Man 2"
Ned Beatty, "Toy Story 3"
Tom Felton, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1"

PREDICTION: Tom Felton, all the way. Christoph Waltz? Who? Mickey Rourke? You're old! Ned Beatty? Wasn't that movie animated? Leighton Meester might surprise, though... because all the other nominees suck and people actually liked The Roommate.

WILL WIN: Tom Felton--Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows, Part 1

Best Fight
Amy Adams vs. The Sisters, "The Fighter"
Chloë Grace Moretz vs. Mark Strong, "Kick-Ass"
Daniel Radcliffe, Emma Watson and Rupert Grint vs. Death Eaters, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1"
Joseph Gordon-Levitt vs. Hallway Attacker, "Inception"
Robert Pattinson vs. Bryce Dallas Howard and Xavier Samuel, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"

PREDICTION: Another toughie. Got great fights from great movies (Twilight, Harry Potter), you have that cool hallway flippy scene which is probably the nominee from Inception (which I mostly slept through), and you have a 13 year old girl kicking the crap out of some dickhead! It was awesome! Oh, and Amy Adams, but... no one saw The Fighter. I'm going with Twilight, because damnit, R-Patt deserves another MTV. (That's shorthand for MTV Movie Award, by the way.)

WILL WIN: R-Patt vs. Bryce Dallas Howard and Xavier Samuel--Twlight Saga: Eclipse

Best Kiss
Ellen Page and Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "Inception"
Emma Watson and Daniel Radcliffe, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1"
Kristen Stewart and Robert Pattinson, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"
Kristen Stewart and Taylor Lautner, "The Twilight Saga: Eclipse"
Natalie Portman and Mila Kunis, "Black Swan"

PREDICTION: I've heard that the only reason Black Swan exists is because of the scene between Natalie Portman and Mila Kunis. But... it's hard to go against Twilight, especially in such a coveted category, where they will probably campaign for hardest. In the end, though... R-Patt and Stewart have won it the past two years. Can't bet against them.

WILL WIN: R-Patt and Kristen Stewart--Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Best Jaw-Dropping Moment
James Franco, "127 Hours," Cuts Off His Arm
Justin Bieber, "Justin Bieber: Never Say Never," Performance Spectacular
Leonardo DiCaprio and Ellen Page, "Inception," Paris Café Scene
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan," Mutilation: Pulls the Skin off Her Finger
Steve-O, "Jackass 3D," Port-A-Potty Bungee Stunt

PREDICTION: Duh.

WILL WIN: Justin Bieber--Justin Bieber: Never Say Never

Best Scared-As-Sh-- Performance
Ashley Bell, "The Last Exorcism"
Ellen Page, "Inception"
Jessica Szohr, "Piranha 3D"
Minka Kelly, "The Roommate"
Ryan Reynolds, "Buried"

PREDICTION: What the hell? This category is lame!

WILL WIN: Ryan Reynolds--Buried (he is the Green Lantern, after all.)

Biggest Badass Star
Alex Pettyfer, "I Am Number Four"
Chloë Grace Moretz, "Kick-Ass"
Jaden Smith, "The Karate Kid"
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "Inception"
Robert Downey Jr., "Iron Man 2"

PREDICTION: On one hand, you've got a 13 year old girl who kicks the crap out of older dudes and swears. On the other... you've got a 10 year old boy whose dad is Will Smith. Who, of course, won Best Male Performance twice (once for Ali in 2002, the other for I Am Legend in 2008). Has Chloë Grace Moretz's dad ever won anything?

WILL WIN: Jaden Smith--The Karate Kid

And that's all of them.

I'm reasonably sure I'm going to be correct on all of these.